2020 was a breakout year for the Buffalo Bills’ offense. 2021 will prove if it was a fluke or not.
The Buffalo Bills will go as far as quarterback Josh Allen can take them. If Allen can grow on his 2020 performance, Buffalo will be a team to watch for the foreseeable future.
Allen improved on all important metrics from 2019, including his completion percentage and quarterback rating. His 107.2 passer rating ranked 4th in the NFL, only one point behind Mahomes. He truly blossomed after the acquisition of wide receiver Stefon Diggs. In his own right, Diggs led the league in receptions, targets, and receiving yards with 1,535 in 2020.
If tight end Dawson Knox continues to develop, the Bills may have a formidable QB-WR-TE trio of their own.
Remember that really bad 2012 Chiefs offense? That year, Kansas City’s offensive coordinator was Brian Daboll, the current Buffalo offensive coordinator. Following a return to the college ranks, Daboll turned the Bills’ offense around in two seasons.
Daboll’s scheme features a lot of motion, fakes, and play-action. Allen had the most play-action passing attempts in 2020, throwing for 17 touchdowns off of play-action.
Buffalo placed in the bottom half of the league for rushing yards per game. If running backs Devin Singletary and Zach Moss can take advantage of the defense’s focus on Allen, the Bills’ offense as a whole looks formidable in 2021.
What about against Kansas City?
While cornerback L’Jarius Sneed may not be the ideal matchup against Diggs, the Chiefs held Diggs to just 77 yards in the 2021 AFC Championship game. The Kansas City Chiefs won that game by forcing Allen to try and do it all himself. Allen led the Bills rushing as well as passing, but he had a 59.6 quarterback rating, well below his season average.
Buffalo did not add any significant offensive players via free agency, instead focusing on extending Allen. The Bills achieved that with a six-year, $258 million extension signed Aug. 6. The deal did get done, but not adding further pieces could hurt the Bills. Look for the Chiefs defense to again win the matchup against Buffalo and force Allen to try and do it all once again.