Chiefs vs Eagles 2023 Score Prediction NFL Week 11

Get our final score prediction and projected winner

The Chiefs allowed an average of just over 15 points per game in their last 18 home games
The Chiefs allowed an average of just over 15 points per game in their last 18 home games / Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

All of Kansas City will be tuned into Monday Night's epic Super Bowl rematch as our Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles in NFL Week 11.

Poor weather is expected, though the matchup will be electric regardless of what's going on in the clouds.

I've peaked into my crystal ball AND my magic 8 ball, so I've got a score prediction for the game. Let's take a look at the odds before I give my pick.

Chiefs vs Eagles 2023 NFL Week 11 Odds

Chiefs vs Eagles 2023 Score Prediction

That's right! Your Kansas City Chiefs will escape with a narrow victory, propelled by defensive excellence and timely drives led by Patrick Mahomes' legs.

Oddsmakers project the game to be somewhere around 24-21, though I think the Chiefs' defense keeps the Eagles at 20.

There are numerous trends supporting a Chiefs' victory. Andy Reid is 27-4 after a bye, he's never lost to his former team, and Kansas City is a stellar 7-2 against the spread in its last seven games at home.

In the Chiefs' last 18 regular season home games? The defense held the opponent to 17 points or fewer 13 times, with the opponent averaging just over 15 points per contest.

We know the defense will show up to play, but we can't know that about the Eagles. Just like the Dolphins hadn't proved they can win in an uncomfortable situation, the Eagles haven't either.

Philadelphia is 1-8 outright in its last nine games as an underdog, failing to cover the spread in the last four by an average of over a TD per game. I believe the Eagles' defense is slightly overrated as well, giving up 7.2 yards per opponent pass play over their last three games. That would rank 27th in the NFL over the season and I foresee Mahomes taking advantage of it.

The Eagles surrendered an average of over 36 points per game in their last four as underdogs. I don't think the Chiefs score THAT much, but I don't think they'll have to either.

Score Prediction: Chiefs 24, Eagles 20

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.