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There's One Simple Reason Chiefs vs. Browns Will Be a Blowout

By Joe Summers

Dec 8, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) rolls out to pass during the second half against the Los Angeles Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images
Dec 8, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) rolls out to pass during the second half against the Los Angeles Chargers at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images / Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images
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The Chiefs are set to take on the Browns on Sunday and there's significant reason to believe they'll snap their seven-game against the spread (ATS) losing streak.

While Kansas City has made a name for itself by winning close games, this has the makings of a blowout and there's one key reason why.

Stylistically, Cleveland's offense and QB Jameis Winston play right into the Chiefs' hands. The Browns are a paltry 1-5 ATS since the start of November and Patrick Mahomes should have his best game yet here in Week 15.

Why Chiefs Will Dominate Browns on Sunday in Week 15

The Chiefs are 4.5-point favorites at FanDuel Sportsbook. They were double-digit favorites against both the Panthers and Raiders in recent weeks while closing as seven-point road favorites against the Chargers earlier this year. Kansas City wins close but these odds are a massive overreaction.

However, the main reason the Chiefs will win going away is that they control the clock. On the season, Kansas City is fifth in time of possession. Cleveland is 11th but over the last three weeks with Jameis under center, they're 22nd.

Winston's boom-or-bust mentality means the Browns don't hold the ball much. Meanwhile, the Chiefs prioritize long drives and keeping the football out of the opponent's hands. Expect a huge dose of Isiah Pacheco and DeAndre Hopkins should feast underneath. With Xavier Worthy starting to master some of Rashee Rice's routes from last year, this offense is clicking as much as it has all year.

Kansas City struggles in the red zone but Cleveland ranks 19th in opponent red-zone conversion rate. By sustaining long drives and actually finishing them, the Chiefs will easily cover the spread. In fact, this represents their best chance to win by double-digits in weeks.

The Chiefs have done a poor job of creating turnovers. That said, Winston has five interceptions in the last two weeks. If this defense can cause a turnover and the offense controls the clock, this game won't be close.

Feel confident backing the Chiefs to finally cover the spread.

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