Kansas City Chiefs: Offensive player stat predictions for 2019 season

KANSAS CITY, MO - JANUARY 20: The Kansas City Chiefs celebrate in the end zone after running back Damien Williams (26) 23-yard touchdown reception with 7:45 left in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship Game game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs on January 20, 2019 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO - JANUARY 20: The Kansas City Chiefs celebrate in the end zone after running back Damien Williams (26) 23-yard touchdown reception with 7:45 left in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship Game game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs on January 20, 2019 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs  (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images) /

Group 4: Quarterback

Starter: Patrick Lavon Mahomes, Second of His Name, Thrower of No Look Passes, MVP of the 32 Realms and Ruler of Chiefs Kingdom. LONG LIVE THE KING

Projected Stats: 5,253 yards, 49 Touchdowns, 14 Interceptions, 68 completion %, 231 rushing yards, 3 rushing touchdowns.

There is a lot of talk about a Mahomes regression coming this season. Don’t count me in as a believer of this.

If anything, year two with Mahomes as a starter has all signs pointing to a pro(not re)gression. Why wouldn’t it? Mahomes has Sammy Watkins returning, added a second round talent at wide receiver, and has a full season starting under his belt. Only one starting offensive lineman departed in the offseason (Mitch Morse), but that loss is offset by the return of Laurent Duvarney-Tardiff, M.D.

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I didn’t use any of Mahomes averages from last year to figure this number. I just added up the total from all the other players and compiled them here.

If you notice, MVPat’s yardage, completion percentage, and interceptions all increased. As for the INT’s, Mahomes probably throws a tad more this year, a a few of those dropped interceptions from last year get snagged up this time around.

Also I have his touchdown total declining, but less from his play, and more from that he will throw less “cheap” touchdowns this year. That means those shovel and tap passes won’t score as many times this time around.