Best Bets for Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice in Chiefs vs. Raiders NFL Week 16
By Joe Summers
2. Travis Kelce OVER 65.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Kelce had six catches for 91 yards against the Raiders in the first matchup and their defensive scheme should allow him to find space here as well.
I know Kelce only put up five catches for 28 yards last week, but the Patriots' defense always does a good job of limiting his production. The Raiders, on the other hand, run zone coverage 80% of the time, per Pro Football Focus. Kelce dominates zone and should clear this prop with ease as a result.
Travis Kelce needs 9 catches Monday to pass Tony Gonzalez (114) for most ever vs #Raiders and 136 yards to pass Gonzalez (1,515) for most ever vs Raiders
— Josh Dubow (@JoshDubowAP) December 21, 2023
There's also the added motivation that a big day would put Kelce past Tony Gonzalez for the most catches and yards against the Raiders.
Not only do I think Mahomes will try to get Kelce the yards record, but I think he'll gun for the receptions mark too.
3. Travis Kelce OVER 5.5 Catches (-135)
This is the lowest I ever remember seeing a receptions prop for Travis. He's typically sitting around 6.5 or 7.5, so I'm jumping on this value before the line changes.
Even in what's been a relatively down year, Kelce is still averaging over 6.5 catches per game. Again, he needs nine to break Tony Gonzalez's record, so Mahomes will likely give him every opportunity.
Kelce has at least six catches in nine of his 13 games this year. Perhaps he only finishes with five against the Raiders, but this line is disrespectful.
Trust in Kelce to deliver some presents for us on Christmas Day. Now, let's get to the Rashee Rice props!