Best Bets for Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Isiah Pacheco in Super Bowl 58
By Joe Summers
5. Isiah Pacheco Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
I'm all-in on Pacheco this week and his props are my favorite way to attack the game. As a result, you're about to get three of these bad boys.
The 49ers' run defense has been terrible recently, giving up 182 yards to the Lions and 136 to the Packers. Pacheco cleared this prop in four straight games, averaging 96 per game in the process.
Even if the 49ers commit to stopping the run, which would be foolish considering Mahomes is under center, Pacheco breaks tackles as well as anyone in the league. Against a defense that ranked 21st in opponent yards per rush attempt (4.3), Pacheco should dominate.
6. Isiah Pacheco OVER 15.5 Rush Attempts (-130)
The Chiefs' coaching staff knows how good of a matchup this is for Pacheco too, and they've been consistently feeding him since he came back from injury.
He had 18 carries against the Bengals, 24 against the Dolphins, 15 against the Bills and 24 against the Ravens for an average of 20.25 in his last four games. Especially if the Chiefs want to emphasize ball control and efficiency, leaning on Pacheco makes a ton of sense.
7. Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD (+110)
These are absurd odds for perhaps the most likely player to score a TD for the Chiefs given the 49ers' leaky run defense.
He's got at least one TD in seven straight games and is the man Kansas City relies on to close out games. Pacheco frequently scores the final TD in wins as well, so it's worth looking at his prop for last TD scorer too.
Pacheco will have an argument for Super Bowl MVP at the end of the day. I still think Mahomes gets it, but we may have a similar argument that we did in 2020 with Damien Williams.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.