Best Bets for Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Isiah Pacheco in Chiefs vs. Dolphins on Wild Card Weekend
By Joe Summers
4. Isiah Pacheco OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The most logical path to a Chiefs win is a heavy dose of Pacheco. He rushed for 66 yards against the Dolphins in the first contest in Germany, though the weather suggests we can expect a larger workload.
Pacheco had 130 yards against the Bengals and the Dolphins are dealing with a slew of injuries up front. I expect Andy Reid to lean on Pacheco to minimize potential mistakes through the air and Miami allows 4.3 yards per rush attempt on the road, a mark that would be bottom 10 in the league on the whole season.
Isiah Pacheco runs like he’s angry at the ground pic.twitter.com/lZpf877Osm
— Laterals (@LateralsOnIG) January 11, 2024
Miami won't be able to load the box given the respect they'll need to give Mahomes through the air. The Dolphins are in trouble, and Pacheco is going to deliver on this prop.
5. Isiah Pacheco Anytime TD (-120)
Pacheco has five TDs in his last four games and sees an uptick in usage without Jerick McKinnon, who is still on Injured Reserve. If the Chiefs lean on Pacheco like I expect them to, he'll have a great chance to find the end zone.
The physical back didn't score in the first meeting against the Dolphins, though this defense is in much worse shape than it was then.
Isiah Pacheco's usage in three starts without Jerick McKinnon:
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) January 11, 2024
* 79.7% snap rate (RB4)
* 55% route share (RB5)
* 5.3 targets per game (RB3)
* 23.1 Half-PPR points per game result (RB1)
In these frigid conditions, Pacheco is in line to be the Chiefs' MVP of the contest. Back his props and let's get set for a thrilling playoff affair.
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