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Opening Odds for Potential Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl Overrate Philly's Chances

Early opening odds for a potential Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Super Bowl matchup underrate Patrick Mahomes to no one's surprise.

By Joe Summers

Jan 18, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) runs the ball against the Houston Texans during the fourth quarter of a 2025 AFC divisional round game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
Jan 18, 2025; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) runs the ball against the Houston Texans during the fourth quarter of a 2025 AFC divisional round game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images / Denny Medley-Imagn Images
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The Kansas City Chiefs are just two wins away from immortality, officially on the doorstep of history to accomplish the first three-peat in the Super Bowl era.

They have to make it past the Buffalo Bills in Sunday's AFC Championship first, though oddsmakers have already released potential opening odds for the theoretical Super Bowl matchups. Both the Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are favored in the respective games, meaning this is the most likely outcome.

Nothing is set in stone until the games are actually played, though the early odds from FanDuel Sportsbook seem to overrate the Eagles' chances of slowing down Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.

Potential Chiefs vs. Eagles Super Bowl Opening Odds

Spread: KC -1.5 (-106) | PHI +1.5 (-110)
Moneyline: KC (-118) | PHI (+106)
Total: 45.5 - Over (-115) | Under (-105)

FanDuel has the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites with -118 odds on the moneyline and a total set at 45.5 -118 odds, implying a 51.98% chance of victory, which feels disrespectful to the Chiefs at first glance.

These two teams are obviously quite familiar with each other. Kansas City's dramatic 38-35 victory in the Super Bowl two years ago started this entire three-peat dream, so it'd be fitting to see Mahomes take on Jalen Hurts and the Eagles again.

Both squads are dramatically different now, and Philadelphia's defense is much improved. Vic Fangio is the defensive coordinator now and the Eagles rebuilt the secondary in the 2024 NFL Draft with Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean. As if that wasn't enough, they added presumptive AP Offensive Player of the Year Saquon Barkley too.

That said, Philadelphia's passing attack has fallen off. Over the last three weeks, the Eagles rank 27th in yards per pass (6.4) while the Chiefs are 11th (7.6). The Los Angeles Rams were in position to beat Philly in the Divisional Round and untimely penalties ruined those chances. Hurts was sacked seven times, proving how susceptible this offense is to taking negative plays.

Kansas City is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings between these teams including the Super Bowl. Hurts was exceptional against Mahomes in that first Super Bowl, though each player's track record suggests the Chiefs have a large advantage under center.

After all we've seen Mahomes accomplish, giving him less than a 52% chance at winning any single game is a foolish endeavor.

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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