Kansas City hopes to rebound after a tough Week 1 loss to the Lions in which the offense looked out of sorts and the defense was missing its leader in Chris Jones.
Well, Jones is back and Travis Kelce may be as well, giving the Chiefs desperately needed reinforcements as they travel to Jacksonville to face the surging Jaguars.
The Chiefs opened as short 2.5-point favorites but the Jones and Kelce news brought the line to 3.5 as of this moment. I see one side with clear value as Kansas City hopes to avoid a 0-2 start.
Let’s check out the odds before I jump into my best bet for the contest.
Chiefs vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread and Total
Chiefs vs. Jaguars Best Bet
Jacksonville gets its chance at revenge after falling short to a hobbled Patrick Mahomes in the playoffs 27-20. Both teams look different now than they did in January, but I expect a similar result with Kansas City coming out on top.
In Patrick Mahomes’ career after a loss, he’s 13-3 outright with an average victory margin of over 15 points per game. The Jaguars are a middling pass defense, ranking in the bottom half of the league last season in opponent yards per pass attempt and opponent yards per play.
Provided the pass-catchers don’t submit the same miserable performance they did last week, Mahomes should have no issue getting points on the board.
Kansas City is 5-1 in its last six games as road favorites, winning by an average of 10.8 points per game in the victories. To their credit, the Jags have five straight outright wins as home underdogs, but the Chiefs and Mahomes are no regular opponents.
If you can get the line at 3 instead of 3.5, I’d lock that in immediately. Nonetheless, this should be a statement game from the Chiefs and I’m still comfortable betting the -3.5-point spread. Expect Mahomes to utilize his legs and the defense to create a timely turnover as the two-time Super Bowl MVP improves to 14-3 outright after a loss.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.