In extremely competitive matchups, the spread is set around a field goal. Sports books are not in the business of losing money, so normally they will keep the matchups as even as possible. So explain to me why this matchup has a seven-point spread in favor of the Chiefs?
The Chiefs are arguably the best team in the AFC, yes, but the Chargers are a quickly rising force in the NFL. Whoever is responsible for setting this spread did the Chiefs, and the Chargers, dirty.
This is a divisional matchup that is likely to become a shootout. Neither defense has shown that they will be very helpful in this matchup, while both offenses are capable of scoring on demand. The spread is a full seven points?
It is hard to logically reason against taking the Chargers with the spread because seven points is a ton. Especially with the Chiefs’ porous run defense giving the Chargers the ability in the fourth quarter to dominate the time of possession game.
Is there an argument to be made for taking the Chiefs to cover? Sure. Tyrann Mathieu is on track to become the defensive player of the year. Chris Jones could finally figure out his new position. Maybe Juan Thornhill gets some snaps and gets back to his 2019 self. However, that is too many “Maybes” to feel comfortable betting on them.
I am taking Chargers with the spread. If you are a money line better, or a four-way spread better, I specifically am taking Chiefs to win, but Chargers within seven.