Kansas City Chiefs: Offensive player stat predictions for 2019 season
By Kole Berrey
Group 1: Running Backs
Starter: Damien Williams
Projected Stat Line: 1,152 rushing yards, 672 receiving yards, 20 total touchdowns
The way I did this was simple. I averaged the amount of touches Kareem Hunt received per game over his 27 starts as a Chief. That came out to be 17 rushing attempts and three receptions per game.
Then I took Damien Williams‘ attempts during his five game stretch as a Chief and compared to see if the workload was similar. It was. Williams averaged 14 rushes per game to go along with five receptions.
Those numbers make sense, considering Williams is more of a pass catcher than Hunt. It appears the Chiefs want to give their starting backs around 20 touches per game. This rang true for Spencer Ware as well, who averaged 18 touches over his two games as the Chiefs starter last year.
After finding out the amount of touches the Chiefs want their starting back to have, I just plugged in Williams’ averages during his time starting last year. I considered going with his career averages over his Chiefs averages because of the larger sample size, but decided those numbers wouldn’t be applicable.
Williams is returning to a Chiefs unit that hardly lost any players from last year, after all. Also, Williams didn’t get to play with an MVP quarterback during any of his previous games prior to being a Chief. Expect Damien Williams to offer the similar production in 2019 that he provided down the stretch of 2018.