Fantasy Baseball: Potential Busts At Each Position 2016

Shortstop: Troy Tulowitzki

ESPN ADP: 3rd Shortstop, 46th overall

Troy Tulowitzki has played in just 392 games out of a possible 648 games over the last four seasons. From 2012-2015 he’s played in 47, 126, 91, and 128 games respectively. If you believe in trends at all, it would appear Tulowitzki is due for another really short season.

Here are two sets of stats from 2015:

• Player A: .275/.334/.411 – 26 doubles, 17 home runs, 71 RBIs
• Player B: .280/.337/.440 – 27 doubles, 17 home runs, 70 RBIs

Player A is ranked the 12th best shortstop according to average draft position in ESPN drafts. Player B is ranked 3rd at his position. Do you see a lot of differences between player A and player B? Player A is taken in the 16th round in standard leagues compared to player B in the fourth round.

Player B, as you’ve probably figured out, is Troy Tulowitzki. He’s hitting in the middle of a very potent Toronto Blue Jays lineup so he should be a good play, but he didn’t hit that well when he joined the team last year.

With the Blue Jays, he only slashed .239/.317/.380 with five home runs and eight doubles. He was hurt for part of the time, surprising I know, so he’s got that excuse going for him.

While Player A, Jhonny Peralta, is going to miss some time this season with a thumb issue, these draft positions were calculated prior to the injury. Bottom line: Someone is going to overpay for 14th round production in Troy Tulowitzki.

Next: Not A Bust, But Over Valued