The Chiefs hope for a 17th straight win over the Broncos this Sunday. Snowy conditions are expected for the contest, though that suits Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce well.
Kansas City's superstar duo both dominated in the Chiefs' Week 6 win against the Broncos, with Mahomes throwing for 306 yards and Kelce hauling in nine passes for 124 of those yards.
With the two displaying perhaps their best chemistry in all their years together, I'm eyeing several player props for this rematch. Here are the best bets to make for Mahomes and Kelce in Week 8:
Best Bets for Patrick Mahomes
1. Mahomes Over 273.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Mahomes cleared this prop each of the last three weeks and has over 300 passing yards in each of his last three games against the Broncos.
Even if the weather is poor, that shouldn't impact Mahomes too much due to this new iteration of the Chiefs' offense that prioritizes short passes instead of deep shots.
When the Chiefs played the Broncos in a blizzard in 2019, Mahomes threw for 340 yards. He's weather-proof, especially against a defense that ranks 31st in opponent yards per pass attempt (7.9).
Averaging 288 passing yards per game on the season even with a poor 203-yard effort against the Jets, Mahomes is in line for another 300+ yard passing day and I'm thrilled to get his prop at this number.
2. Mahomes Over 23.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Mahomes has cleared his rushing prop in six of his seven games this season. He's using his legs more than ever before and I'll keep taking his over here until oddsmakers adjust.
If the weather impacts Mahomes' ability to throw, I like this prop even more. He had 31 rushing yards in the Week 6 game, averaging over 30 per contest this year.
Denver is dead-last in the NFL in opponent rush yards per attempt (5.5) and the team's leaky defense will allow Mahomes to run rampant.
Check out the next page for our best bets with Travis Kelce's props too.
Best Bets for Travis Kelce
1. Kelce Over 75.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Kelce is on a ridiculous heater, going over 100 first-half yards each of the last two weeks. Until he slows down, I'll happily back him to clear 75.5.
The Broncos run zone coverage over 76% of the time, according to Pro Football Focus, but their zone defense has the worst success rate (36.2%) on a per-play basis of any team in the league. It's allowed 8.30 yards per coverage snap, also the league's worst mark.
I think Kelce is in store for another performance over the century mark and I don't mind alternate lines as well. With the weather likely forcing Mahomes to lean even more heavily on his favorite target, we should see a vintage Kelce performance once again.
2. Kelce Over 7.5 Receptions (+106)
The same logic from above applies to this bet. Kelce has 31 catches on 33 targets for 370 yards and 2 TDs over his last three games, hauling in at least nine passes each time.
Kansas City has emphasized controlling the clock through intermediate passes, Kelce's specialty. Don't forget too, that Kelce's romantic partner Taylor Swift just released an album on Friday. If you think he's not balling out in support, you don't know the Kelce that I do.
The last time the Chiefs saw the Broncos in the snow was Week 15 in 2019.
— Mackenzie Webb (@kenziewebbsport) October 28, 2023
Patrick Mahomes threw for 340 yards and 2 TDs. Travis Kelce had 11 receptions for 142 yards.
These two are big snow game guys and this matchup will be fun with snow in the forecast tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/gWgdPBOxl4
These are two stars with playground mentalities. The snow couldn't be more fitting for this duo.
As the Chiefs prepare for a showdown in Germany with the Dolphins next week, Kelce will haul in at least eight passes to get set for a marquee matchup.
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